Health Score

The Health Score (0–100) detects whether a strategy is degrading over time. Unlike the other scores which evaluate absolute performance, the Health Score compares recent performance against historical baselines. It's your early warning system.

Health Score dashboard showing the strategy's recent behaviour against its own history

Info

Independent of CSI — the Health Score stands on its own and does not feed into the CSI. A strategy can have an Excellent CSI and a failing Health Score simultaneously.

How It Works

The Health Score compares your historical baseline performance against recent performance to detect degradation. It looks at several performance characteristics to determine whether the strategy's behaviour has shifted.

It also checks whether your recent results hold up in absolute terms, not only relative to your own history. Both have to be sound for a strong score — so a strategy can score badly on weak current results even when nothing has diverged, and a strategy that was always mediocre does not earn a clean bill of health simply by staying mediocre.

Built-in circuit breakers pull the Health Score down when serious warning signs appear, however good everything else looks — such as recent losses that wipe out the edge, losing streaks well beyond the strategy's norm, a slow sustained drift in the edge, or a drawdown far deeper than anything in its history.

Info

The Health Score needs enough trade history to compare recent behaviour against the strategy's own baseline. With too few trades, it shows "Not enough data" rather than an unreliable score.

What Makes a Good Health Score

The Health Score uses a 5-tier system (vs. 4 for other scores):

TierScore RangeWhat It Means
Excellent80–100Recent results at or above the strategy's own history, and healthy in absolute terms — continue trading normally
Good60–79Performing in line with its history — standard monitoring
Caution40–59Reduce exposure, investigate
Critical30–39Minimal exposure only
Failed1–29Stop trading this strategy

A Health Score of 0 means it hasn't been calculated yet, not that the strategy failed.

Interpreting Health Changes

ScenarioWhat It Means
Health risingStrategy performing better recently than historically
Health steady in the Good bandStrategy performing as expected — no degradation
Health decliningRecent results worse than baseline — possible regime change
Health below 40Active degradation — consider stopping

A declining Health Score is often the first sign of regime change. See Why Strategies Fail — Regime Dependency for more context.

Tip

The Health Monitor tracks your score over time — import fresh trades regularly to keep your Health Score current.

Tip

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