Advanced Metrics

These metrics cover period-level statistics, stagnation analysis, and efficiency measures that provide additional context for strategy evaluation.

Return & Efficiency Metrics

MetricFormulaUnit
CAGR((End Equity / Initial Capital)^(1/Years) - 1) × 100%
Avg Monthly ReturnCAGR / 12%
AANP (Average Annual Net Profit)Net Profit / Backtest Years$/yr
ARR(AANP / Initial Capital) × 100%
Profit Rank %(Exposure-Adjusted Annual Profit / Perfect Profit) × 100%
Profit Per BarNet Profit / Total Bars$/bar
Efficiency RatioCAGR / Exposure %ratio

Key Metrics Explained

CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate)

The annualized growth rate, accounting for compounding. This is the standard way to compare returns across different time periods.

CAGRTier
≥ 30%Excellent
≥ 18%Good
≥ 10%Caution
< 10%Failed

Profit Rank %

A normalized efficiency metric that compares your strategy's actual annual profit (adjusted for exposure time) against a theoretical "perfect" strategy. Values above 50% indicate exceptional efficiency.

Efficiency Ratio

CAGR divided by Exposure %. A strategy earning 20% CAGR with only 30% market exposure has an efficiency ratio of 0.67 — your capital is deployed efficiently.

Stagnation Metrics

MetricFormulaUnit
StagnationMax bars without a new equity highbars
Stagnation %(Stagnation / Total Bars) × 100%
Longest Flat DaysSame as stagnation (daily bars)days

Stagnation measures the longest period without making new highs. Even profitable strategies have flat periods — a stagnation of 30% means the strategy spent nearly a third of its time going nowhere.

Period Statistics

MetricDescription
Best YearMaximum yearly return %
Worst YearMinimum yearly return %
Positive YearsCount of profitable years
Total YearsCount of all years
Best MonthMaximum monthly return %
Worst MonthMinimum monthly return %
Positive MonthsCount of profitable months
Total MonthsCount of all months
Positive Months %(Positive Months / Total Months) × 100
Time Underwater %(Days below equity peak / Total Days) × 100

Key Stats

Positive Months % correlates with the Profitability Score's consistency component. Strategies with 65%+ profitable months demonstrate reliable, steady returns.

Worst Month / Worst Year shows the worst-case calendar period. If you couldn't stomach a single month of that loss, the strategy may be too volatile for you.

Time Underwater % shows what fraction of the backtest was spent in drawdown. Even a strategy with a small max drawdown can have high time underwater if drawdowns happen frequently.

Tip

Stagnation and Time Underwater are often overlooked — a strategy with small drawdowns but 60% time underwater is harder to trade psychologically than the numbers suggest.

Tip

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